Find the trend is a
classic trend following strategy for trading.
This strategy I
encourage you to test it and make additions or changes based on your
current
situation.
● The following
strategy can be traded on any time frame (Remember the shorter the
time frame the smaller the targets and spreads become more of an
issue.) Time Frame 5 min or higher.
● You can plan
additional stop and exit strategies based on your situation.
● This strategy can be
traded with any market: Stocks, futures, and forex.
Rule 1: Find the Trend
There are so many ways to
find the trend I am going to share how I have been doing it for a
long time that will really make it easy for you.
It involves adding 3
moving averages on your chart.
20 period Simple Moving
Average
40 Period Simple Moving
Average
100 Period Simple Moving
Average
When the price is above
all 3 moving averages you have an uptrend or if the price is below
all moving averages you have a down trend.
As you can see from the
image above once the price moves above all moving averages the trend
is up. This applies to any time frame that you are trading. However
the higher the time frame the longer the trend will run. Once the
price moves back below the 100 moving average the trend is over.
Here is an example of a
down trend:
Rule Number 2 The Entry:
When you get a new trend
develop you wait for a pull back into the moving averages AND and
then continues in the same direction as the break the then you enter
the trade.
Note*
I do not enter on
the first break down only the pull back. This is personal preference
so when you develop your trading plan make sure you determine what
you are going to do.
Let me show you the
previous example where the entries would be.
Below is an example of
the entry I would take during this move.
The stop is placed on the
higher time frame High or low.
In the example I am
showing you we are using a 1 hour chart so the stop
would be a 4hr chart to
find the stop.
Exit
The exit is when the
price breaks above the 100 MA
In this example the trade
had a profit of +330 pips.
In review this trade
would have had a stop of 89 pips and the final profit of 330 which is risk of 1
to 3.7. If you can average 1 risk
to 3 reward over a long period of time then a 40% win rate will be
extremely profitable.
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