The Daily Chart
Trading System is designed to give you plenty of time to prepare
for your trade, time to confirm the reasons for the trade and time to
execute the order. This is perfect for traders who don't have time to
sit in front of their computer screen for 10 to 16 hours at a time.
This trading system will also absorb most of the reactions from
economic news on a daily basis since we are monitoring the daily
charts. You can also hold the trades open through the weekends
without much concern if price isn't too close to the stop loss level.
You also need to consider the logistics of trading on a Daily chart.
This will obviously have a major influence on the amount of leverage
you use due to the size of the stop loss placements. It is not
uncommon to see stop loss levels in excess of 200 to 300 pips or more
on a single trade. You absolutely must take this into account when
determining whether you can afford the trade or not. I never
recommend using more than 5 percent of your account balance on all
open trades... and you must consider that if the trade moves against
you more than 100 pips or more, this will increase the percentage of
capital exposed on the trade. Please read the line above again!
Understanding the importance of leverage and controlling that
leverage and maintaining a disciplined approach to money management
is one of the most important factors between success and failure. If
you have a small trading account and you still wish to trade the
daily charts you need to make an adjustment to the leverage you are
using and keep in mind my recommendation of never using more than 5
percent on all open trades at a single time.
Time frames
In this trading system we
will be using a classic system that many successful traders use.
It involves using the
daily chart and the 4 hour chart only.
The daily chart is used
to determine the trend and direction and the 4 hour chart is used to
time the entry.
Currency pairs:
GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, EUR/JPY and the GBP/JPY.
Forex Indicators:
This strategy mainly
revolves around the Donchian channel indicator.
The Donchian channels are
added both to the daily chart and the 4 hour chart.
The setting for the
Donchian channel daily chart is 20 and the Donchian channel setting
for the 4 hour chart is 55 which is a typical Fibonacci number.
We will also be using the
typical 200 day moving average (set at the close) for the daily
chart. This will help visually determine the trend and the strength
based on the angle of the moving average and distance of price from
it. The last indicator used in this strategy is the Stochastics on
both daily and four hour charts set at 14, 3, 3.
Step one:
Always trade in the
direction of the trend! (price above the 200 day moving average on
the daily chart, then only trade up and vice versa)
The decision is up to you
to determine the strongest trending currency pair. You will notice
the angle of the moving average and the distance of price in relation
to the moving average. It is still possible to trade a pair that is
not trending as strong but it is preferred to use the strongest
trending pair. In this manual we have a perfect example of a pair
(GBP/USD) that is still in an uptrend according to the position of
price in relation to the moving average. (please see chart below)
The set up:
In this example we will
assume that we are looking for a trade in a up trend and a long
position.
We will also need to use
the A, B, C, price swing method, (not to be confused with Elliott
Wave).We will be looking on the
daily chart for price to remain above the 200 day ma but touching the
lower channel of the Donchian channel indicator. This should
preferably occur at the “C” in a pull back during a trend up.
(please see chart 1 below)
In chart 1 above, we start looking for
an entry when we can confirm that price is above the 200 day ma and
still in an uptrend. When price returns to the lower Donchian
channel, we switch to the 4 hour chart and look for the entry to go
long again assuming that the trend is going to remain in tact.
Once we enter the trade from the 4 hour
chart, we switch back to the daily chart to manage the trade. In the
next two charts below, we will see a recent (as of this writing)
trading opportunity and how we use both time frames.
Chart 2 Recent trading opportunity/
example. GBP/USD daily chart
In the chart above, we see that price is
still above the 200 day ma and price has returned to the lower
Donchian channel. This is the first step to identifying a trading
opportunity. Until price touches the upper or lower Donchian channel
we don't do anything but wait or look at another currency pair for a
trade. Now we switch to the 4 hour chart and look for the entry.
(please see chart 3 for 4 hour chart)
In the four hour chart above, we can
see that the Stochastics has been in the “extreme” level and is
returning back up. Now we use a Donchian channel indicator set at 55
and wait until price touches the upper Donchian channel at the high
where the arrow is, plus one pip. This would also theoretically
confirm the uptrend when price starts to break out to the upside
again. As you can see this will require a large stop placement.
The exit: (take profit)
We exit the trade when price in this
example, returns back to the lower Donchian channel on the four
chart.
Trailing stop:
You can move the stop up (in this
example) when price takes out the last high and makes a new high,
then set the stop just below the last swing low. Closing: Trading on
a larger time frame like the daily and four hour charts can eliminate
the pressure of intraday trading. This is only good for certain
personalities. Others prefer constant activity on a hour by hour
basis. No matter which trading style is right for you, you must
consider the leverage required to trade any method. Obviously we are
all looking for as many trading opportunities as possible but I think
we would all prefer a method that is comfortable, profitable and
provides a good rate of return.
Below the link for download Donchian
Channel indicator Metatrader 4
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0Bwjv2Pbf48iteFZmSG9maVVqbHM/view?usp=sharing
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