Cornoflower
Trend following Forex Strategy is based on four moving average for
catcher the big mouvemnten of the price.
Construct
a template according to the following settings:
24
EMA(yellow, dotted)
12
EMA (violet)
24
EMA (cornflower blue, hence the name)
72
EMA (khaki)
Apply
to H1 (conservative) or M30 (aggressive) chart only and remove the
grid for clarity.
System
principles
Cornflower
is based on the principle that trades should be taken when the same
trend presents itself on multiple time frame. On an hourly chart, the
24 EMA obviously defines the daily trend. The 8 EMA, which is
one-third the length, shows the intraday velocity of “fast”
money. A 12 EMA shows the trend of the last half-day. Its value is a
place at which price will typically find support when there is a
dominant trend. To a lesser extent, this also applies to the 24 EMA.
A long-term trend will sometimes catch a breather around this area,
with big money accumulating on the opportunity to buy or sell at a
substantial discount. Finally, the 72 EMA defines the dominant trend
in themarket. This trend will reassert itself as cumulative memory
persuades traders to resume trading in its direction. If the three
shorter-term averages are above the 72 EMA, we are in an uptrend and
should not go short. The same applies in reverse for a downtrend.
Cornflower
can be used in a number of ways by all kinds of traders. When price
pulls back to the area between the 12 Ema and 24 Ema's, the
opportunity for a short to medium-term bounce presents itself. We can
enter and set a profit target based on a number of criteria, be they
support and resistance areas, pivot points, or a set pip amount. Or
we can enter a longer-term trade, perhaps exiting when the 12 EMA
crosses down below the 24 EMA. The longer-term setups in this system
are powerful and can yield hundreds of pips on a single trade that
will last for up to two weeks. Cornflower will catch every major move
in the market, providing multiple opportunities to take advantage of
a big trend and pretend that one is a bank trader.
Basic
System Rules
There
are two kinds of entries using this system:pullback (conservative)
and initial (aggressive). Th pullback entry, which is the heart of
this system, enters the market when conditions are quiet and after
price has settled into the area between the 8 and 24 EMAs. The timing
of this entry can either be mechanical (using either the 12 or 24
EMA) or discretionary in accordance with the trader’s judgment on
whether price is moving back in the direction of the trend. The
initial entry aims to capitalize on the first movement of a new
trend,defined by a thrust beyond the 72 EMA that is confirmed by a
turnaround in theshorter EMAs. It is more risky because there is
always the possibility of areversal.
For this reason, it is probably better to use the M30 chart for this
typeof entry. Moved up by 30 minutes, one has the opportunity to take
a smallprofit or scratch a trade at or near break-even if a reversal
presents itself.Only the H1 and M30 charts should be used with the
Cornflower template.
Shorter
time periods will lead to whipsaws, whereas longer time periods lag
behind the market too much. The following rules are valid no matter
the time of day. The quiet of theAsiansession actually provides
some excellent opportunities for entry, which is aboon for the trader
whose day job makes watching the market during London or New York an
impossibility.
Pullback
(conservative) entry – use hourly chart
8,
12, and 24 EMAs are all above (long) or below (short) the 72 EMA
Price
has pulled back to the 12 or 24 EMA (the more aggressive the
trend, the
more
shallow the pullback.
Enter
for 20 pips, or hold depending on trader’s judgment of the strength
of the trend .
Initial
(aggressive) entry – use M30 chart with identical indicators
Price
has moved with authority above or below the 72 EMA. By “moved with
authority,”
I mean a candle that has closed near the top of it's range.
8,
12, 24 EMAs are all pointed in the direction of price, and preferably
already
stacked
in a perfect order(8 over 12 over 24 for long, 24 over 12 over 8 for
short).
Enter
for 20 pips and hold if the thrust develops into a real trend.
Using
hourly and half-hourly charts, 20 pips is a realistic initial profit
target,especially if one is trading GBPUSD, GBPJPY, or EURJPY. Even
the other majorpairs should yield this much on a properly gauged
signal. By “major,” I meanEURUSD, USDCHF, AUDUSD, USDJPY, NZDUSD,
and USDCAD. With the possibleexception of EURGBP, any pair that
involves two of the seven major currenciesshould be tradable with
this system. Cornflower is particularly well-suited forentering long
positions on the yen crosses (carry trades).Entries may be timed more
precisely with a 5M timeframe.
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