Support and resistance lines are one of the basic tenants of technical analysis. The method normally used for establishing support and resistance is by finding high and low price levels that the market has failed to exceed previously.
However,
this technique has certain failings. One of the more common has to do
with the occurrence of what is called "false breakouts".
Quite often the market will just exceed the resistance or support
lines and return, fooling a large percentage of traders along the
way.
Obviously,
such lines are important, but they normally are not the true support
and resistance lines. This statement may seem strange, considering
how pervasive the thought that these lines are all important
indicators of market direction. But these lines as static and the
markets are anything but static.
So
if these lines are not the true support and resistance lines, what
is?
True
support and resistance lines can more accurately be defined, “As
lines that have established themselves with support and resistance
within the flow of the market and are supported by price action
(defined as the highs and lows touching and giving support to).”
To
help clarify this definition, lets look at some examples.
As
the examples show, true resistance and support are based on the
actual limits established by the price action and are rarely
perfectly horizontal. The majority establish themselves in a diagonal
line with its incline either up or down. They intertwine through the
price action affecting each time price bars touch them. Yet, they can
extend far into the future crossing voids in the price bars to
reestablish themselves later when they intersect again or can even
cross through price bars without affecting them and still have an
effect later on.
The
intertwining of TRSL (true resistance and support lines) can be quite
extensive and very subtle. They can be very numerous and extend
considerable distances across a chart.
It
takes an eye for detail and a patient careful examination of a chart
to find them. There is no rushing this process. There have been many
times I have attempted to do this and it resulted in missing a
subtle, but key TRSL. However, whenever I have taken my time and made
a careful search, the rewards have been fantastic, as you will see
very shortly.
First,
lets look at a few TRSL that are subtle and normally would be easy to
miss
As
you can see, true support and resistance lines are not always obvious
or simple toidentify as your so-called standard support and
resistance, but is certainly much more rewarding. It takes a trained
eye to fully utilize this unique art of spotting true resistance and
support, but it isn't hard to learn. Learning this technique gives
you a keen eye for what is happening in the market and where it is
likely to stop and reverse, or even gap or makes substantial short
spurts.
Let
me explain. One unique characteristic of the true support and
resistance lines is that when two or more of these lines intersect,
the market is attracted to these points and will try to reach them if
reasonably close. Yet at the same time, these intersecting points
appear to be taboo and the market will either pull away just before
touching them, quickly pass through in a large move, or even gap over
these points.
This
is an important point to remember. If a trend is approaching one of
these intersecting points, then it is a good possibility that it will
pause just before reaching them, pullbackuntil time has moved it
further down the line and then resume the trend or if it actually
makes it to one of these points gap over it and make a nice quick
move. Knowing this gives you an edge in making the right trading
decisions.
One
additional factor to take notice of when dealing with multiple TRSL
is that they
frequently
are at different angles. What this means is that they will "squeeze"
the price as they draw closer and closer to one another. This creates
a spring effect that will often cause price to rocket off in the
direction of losing trend line. It is not uncommon for this powerful
move to show up on a chart as a gap.
Many
of us are familiar with a common type of narrowing support and
resistance lines that frequently causes price to rocket called a
triangle pattern. But anywhere you have
support
and resistance lines putting on the ”squeeze” you are likely to
see a quick move when it breaks one of these lines.
But
what if you are only dealing with one line? Singular support and
resistance lines bythemselves are a source of strength to the price
movement and price will use them as a resting place, a springboard
and as a home to return to. By itself, a line does not guarantee that
it has the ability to stop or support a trend, but in many cases it
will. The key to gauging the strength of a particular line lies in
how it has demonstrated itself in the past.
The
more it has provided support or resistance when price reached it, the
more evident it is that a stronger move is necessary to break the
line. When a line that has resisted being broken several times is
finally broken, then you can count on the new direction to be one of
considerable strength.
Before
leaving the subject of TRSL, I can't avoid one other aspect of these
lines, their attractive qualities. They are like magnets to price.
The stronger a line is, the more it seems to continually attract the
price action. While it may wander from it for some length of time,
whenever it is possible, price will return to the same line over and
over again.
This
is one of the reasons it is important to keep track of TRSL because
they may resurface as support or resistance. That is why it is always
good to monitor larger time frames for TRSL. Different time frames
add a whole different dimension to these lines
that
can be of exception value in predicting price movements.
Speaking of lines and their attractive qualities, note too that there are lines that runthrough your trends that doesn’t fit the description of support or resistance lines, but more aptly as center lines. Price dances around both sides of these centerlines, jumping back and forth at will. It acts, as a magnet that price doesn't want to wander too far from until it latches onto another line that can act as its centerline. They, like TRSL, are very subtle but can be found with just a little patience.
Perhaps one of the most evident examples of this is when a trend reverses. The former support line in most cases becomes the line of resistance and the first important gauge of the next trends TRSL. In essence, a center line between the two trends.
When
this changing of the guard takes place and holds back the price from
returning to its former side of the trend line, it is a strong signal
that the trend has changed direction. Ifrequently use this signal as
confirmation to reverse direction when it coincides with a Reversal
Magic point.
Trend
lines represent an important line of direction. When the price
travels too far from a trend line and runs out of steam, it has to
return to a support line for strength to be able to continue its
trend. At times, these trend lines can be a considerable distance.
Rather than retreating back all the way, price can refortify itself
by clinging to another true support line.
Remember,
that these lines are like magnets. That is also why you will see a
price trend often terminate by just crossing over a resistance
channel line. Although resistance lines don't add strength, they
still attract price and price will do everything that it can to reach
them. In a last ditch effort to reach them, price will lunge in one
final effort and then die.That is why Channel Surfing is such a great
simple way of determining entries and exits.
Price
just naturally follows trend lines, support and resistance lines and
centerlines. This tendency is a very predictable characteristic of
price movement. When price breaks any of these lines, something has
drastically changed. Each of these lines provides early warning
signals that can keep you on the right side of the market.
While
identifying the true support and resistance lines will take practice
on your part to
learn,
I am sure you have already noted on the previous charts the value of
developing this skill.
The
more you use Channel Surfing and the better you become at it, the
more you will see and understand true support and resistance. The two
go hand in hand and are really extensions of the same thing. However
in my opinion, true support and resistance does take more skill. It
is not uncommon for these lines to start at one place and to not have
a major impact until much further down the line. They can even travel
for some distance zhrough "empty space", in that they don't
interact with the price bars until that market impact.
While this area takes some skill, most of that skill will develop naturally as you practice and use this method. Aside from the requirement of having a detail-oriented eye in finding and watching these lines, the method is relatively simple. It will astound you how often these lines continue to affect the market and the reliability opposed to "normal" support and resistance lines. Once you master this, you will no longer look at support and resistance the same way again.
(author Amdudus)
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