Intraday trading
against trend is a contrarian strategy based on Bollinger Bands.
The main feature of this strategy is the price corrections,
Setup strategy
Time frame 30 min, 60
min.
Currency pairs: EUR/USD,
GBP/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/AUD, AUD/USD,
NZD/USD.
Indicators
Bollinger Bands 20 period
with deviation 2.0.
Bollinger Bands 20 period
with deviation 3.0.
RSI (Relative Strength
Index) indicator, 14 period, close.
This contrarian strategy
has low risk, but is not profitable with low reward in the trending
market. This strategy in sideways market with volatility or when
there is a medium-trend of the price is higher profitable with low
risk.
Relative Strength Index
indicator helps to find oversold and overbought levels where a trend
turn is possible. When the RSI nears 30 level or goes below 30 level,
the signal is that the currency pair is oversold. When RSI nears or
crosses 70 level and goes below, the signal is that the market is
overbought. To confirm RSI signals we use the Bollinger Bands. When
the price touches outside Bollinger Bands with deviation 2.0 and 3.0
, it serves as a signal that further price movements are unlikely. In
other words, the price has reached its local maximum or minimum, and
a correction is probably going to begin. In order to avoid fake price
movements and to be sure that the correction really begins the
current or next candle should be closed inside the two Bollinger
Bands.
Apply this strategy to 6
charts at the same time.
Long entry
Find oversold market
using RSI ( Relative Strength Index lines rises to 30 or lower).
It indicates that a positive correction of the price is possible.
Then the price should cross the lower line of Bollinger Band with
standard deviation 3.0, and after that the candle should be closed
inside Bollinger Band with standard deviation 2.0. If the candle is
up (green color), a long position is opened with a stop loss of local
minimum minus 10 points. After position becomes profitable a trailing
stop of 10 points is set. A long position will be closed by a stop
loss or when the price crosses higher Bollinger Bands standard
deviation 2.0) line.
Short entry
Find overbought
market with RSI ( Relative Strength Index lines rises to 70 or
higher). It indicates that a negative correction is possible. Then
the price should cross higher Bollinger Band with standard deviation
3.0, and after that the candle should be closed inside Bollinger Band
with standard deviation 2.0. If the candle is down (red color), a
long position is opened with a stop loss of local maximum plus 10
points. After position becomes profitable a trailing stop of 10
points is set. A short position will be closed by a stop loss
or when the price crosses lower Bollinger Bands (Standard deviation
2.0) line.
Options for stop loss and
take profit.
Stop loss below/above the
outside bands of the Bollinger Bands with deviation 3.0.
Make profit 2 pips before
the middle band.
In the pictures examples of this trading strategy, three charts USD/JPY.
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