This strategy is very
versatile because you can use any timeframe and any currency pair you
prefer. A pennant is a pattern formation which is very easy to
identify on any chart. This pattern is formed by 2 lines. One line –
the one that is above prices – is descending, and the other one –
the one that is below prices – is ascending. The lines tend to
converge forming a triangle. We use this strategy as a reversal
pattern. For this strategy, we will use the MACD-Histogram to
confirm the trade and to optimize our exit point.
Trading rules Pennant
Failure Trading System:
for this strategy, you
should draw the lines below and above prices and enter on the
breakout of the pattern. If the pennant is at the top, we will try
to find a short sell opportunity; if the pennant is at the
bottom of the chart, we will try to find a good buying
opportunity. To exit the trade, we will use the MACD-Histogram.
If we are in a long position, we will wait until the MACD- Histogram
is above its centerline and reach its peak. If we are in a short
position, we will wait until the MACD-
Histogram is below its
centerline and reach its bottom. Once MACD-Histogram upticks, we will
exit the trade. The better way to see how any strategy really works
is to look at some real charts.
Entry: Buy GBP/USD at
1.7603
Exit: 1.7777
Profit: 174 pips
In this GBP/USD 1 hour
chart we have a pennant formation. As we are at the bottom of the
chart, we are looking for a long opportunity. So, we will enter a buy
order on the breakout of the pattern. In this case, the order should
be placed at 1.7603. At this point, the MACD- Histogram is giving us
indication that the bottom has been reached. After entering the
trade, we will wait for the MACD- Histogram to cross up its
centerline and then to reach a peak. This happens at 1.7777, where we
should exit the trade.
Entry: Buy GBP/USD at
1.7413
Exit: 1.7536
Profit: 123 pips
In this GBP/USD 1 hour
chart we have a pennant formation at the bottom. So, we are going to
look for a good buying opportunity. We will enter the trade when
there is a pennant breakout, which happens at 1.7413. Once again the
MACD-Histogram is confirming the trade. The MACD-Histogram gives a
sell signal (the indicator is above its centerline and reaches a
peak) at 1.7536, giving us 123 pips profit.
Entry: Buy GBP/USD at
1.7365
Exit: 1.7469
Profit: 104 pips
In this particular
GBP/USD 1 hour chart, we can see that the currency pair made a false
pennant breakdown. After this false breakdown, prices started to go
up, and gave us an entry point at 1.7365, when the breakout to the
upside was triggered. The MACD-Histogram is confirming the trade, so
we have the odds on our side. The MACD -Histogram gave us a sell
signal at 1.7469, once it started to fall above its centerline. It is
then time to exit the trade with 104 pips profit.
Entry: Short GBP/USD at
1.7848
Exit: 1.7681
Profit: 167 pips
In this GBP/USD 15
minutes chart, we have a pennant formation at the top. In this
case, we will enter our short sell order at 1.7848. After entering
the trade, we will wait for the MACD- Histogram to give an exit
signal. This happened at 1.7681, when the MACD -Histogram started to
rise below its centerline.
Entry: Short GBP/USD at
1.7510
Exit: 1.7457
Profit: 53 pips
In this GBP/USD 1 hour
chart, we have a pennant formation at the top of the chart. We
will place our short sell order on the pennant breakdown, which
happens at 1.7510. As in the previous examples, the MACD-Histogram is
confirming that we are in a top. After entering the trade, we will
closely watch the MACD- Histogram to see when it gives an exit
signal. This happens at 1.7457, after the indicator crossed down its
centerline, reached its bottom and started to rise. We should then
exit the trade with 53 pips profit.
Flag e Pennant
indicator MT4 below the link for download.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0Bwjv2Pbf48itUnZKVjhVS2RXMVU/view?usp=sharing
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