The Double Top and Double
Bottom is a popular chart pattern that is responsible to most of
trend reversals. It is also called the 'M' pattern, as its shape
resembles the letter M. It is the most popular chart pattern of all,
and appears in most FOREX pairs, Commodities and Stocks. It is also
the easiest pattern to spot and trade. You may have heard about this
pattern – I encourage you to forget all you have learned. You will
learn here the most solid and profitable method of trading the Double
Top, and I encourage you not to trade it in any other method as it is
the most consistent one. Hit Rate: 82%. After pullback 82% of the
trades reach the projected target. Appearance: The double top is
created when price touches the same Resistance level twice. Simply
put, price touches the same price level twice, unable to break
through it. Price may create a support level between the two tops –
called the
neckline. Eventually,
price breaks downwards and a bearish trend begins.
Examples of Double
Tops:
The neckline level is
drawn on the charts.
Psychology: Buyers
have tried to break the level twice, each time without success. After
these two times the sellers have demonstrated their strength and they
push price down into a reversal of trend. At the first top the buyers
still have strength and attempt to break the high level again.
However, at the second top the sellers are gaining strength and push
prices downwards. Note: until the price has not broken the neckline,
the pattern is not yet validated. In some cases price tests the level
again, forming a Triple Top.
How to Trade:
While there are several known methods of trading the Double Top,
we will concentrate only on the safest and most profitable one –
the pullback method. It is the most profitable trading method and has
the highest hit rate of all.
The basis of this method:
1. Wait for price to
break the neckline level.
2. Wait for price to go
back up and touch the neckline from below. It occurs at around 33% of
the double tops. If it does not occur, do not trade this pattern.
3. Wait for price to
create a bearish candle. This candle is used to confirm that price is
indeed pulling back and continuing the movement downwards.
4. After a bearish
candle, enter Short trade.
5. Stop loss should be
placed 1 pip above the highest high of last 4 candles. Important:
Your stop loss is not related to your trade size, and is calculated
in the formula. After setting the stop loss, calculate your trade
size so your loss will be between 1-3% of your account.
6. Take profit is
calculated in the following method: calculate the distance between
the highest high of the double top and the neckline. This is the size
of the double top, and is the profit target for the pattern. Subtract
this amount from the pullback location, to get the take profit
location. You can use these rules to trade the invert variation of
the Double Top – the Double Bottom. All rules and psychology are
the same – just reversed. Trade direction is bullish.
Examples of trades:
Below Double top and Bottom MT4
indicator in the picture:
Below the link for
download Double Top and Bottom MT4 indicator
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0Bwjv2Pbf48itMGNBR1FjeXczVEE/view?usp=sharing
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